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ENG Engeland - Southern Premier League Central · Wedstrijd ·

Kettering vs Alvechurch

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst43%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst28%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst43% selection probability
Projected score2–1KetteringAlvechurch
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
43% / 29% / 28%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alvechurch win (27.6%)Dubbele Kans1X72.4%1.38
Boven 46% · Onder 54%Goals 2.5Onder54%1.85
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenNee50%2.00
2.52 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Kettering win43%2.33
Gelijkspel29%3.45
Alvechurch win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kettering1.51

Thuis share of expected goals 59.9%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 46% · Onder 54%

Alvechurch1.01

Uit share of expected goals 40.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Kettering

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Alvechurch

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
28%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.51
Expected goals
1.01
KetteringAlvechurch
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kettering signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alvechurch signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Kettering vs Alvechurch FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kettering gewonnen 43%,Gelijkspel 29%,Alvechurch gewonnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Boven 2.5 46% · Current selection Onder