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ENG Inglismaa Southern Premier League - kesk · Mäng ·

Kettering vs Alvechurch

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit43%
Viik29%
Võõrsilvõit28%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit43% selection probability
Projected score2–1KetteringAlvechurch
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla54% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
43% / 29% / 28%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alvechurch win (27.6%)Topeltvõimalus1X72.4%1.38
Üle 46% · Alla 54%Goals 2.5Alla54%1.85
Jah 50% · Ei 50%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi50%2.00
2.52 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.2 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Kettering win43%2.33
Viik29%3.45
Alvechurch win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kettering1.51

Kodu share of expected goals 59.9%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 46% · Alla 54%

Alvechurch1.01

Võõras share of expected goals 40.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 50% · Ei 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Kettering

1.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punktid8

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Alvechurch

1.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punktid5

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Võit probability excluding draw
28%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.51
Expected goals
1.01
KetteringAlvechurch
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kettering signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alvechurch signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Kettering vs Alvechurch FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kettering võit 43%,Viik 29%,Alvechurch võit 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Üle 2.5 46% · Current selection Alla