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ENG England - Southern Premier League Central · Match ·

Kettering vs Alvechurch

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger43%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger28%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger43% selection probability
Projected score2–1KetteringAlvechurch
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
43% / 29% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alvechurch win (27.6%)Dubbelchans1X72.4%1.38
Över 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Båda lagen gör målNej50%2.00
2.52 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.2 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Kettering win43%2.33
Oavgjort29%3.45
Alvechurch win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kettering1.51

Hemma share of expected goals 59.9%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 46% · Under 54%

Alvechurch1.01

Borta share of expected goals 40.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Kettering

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Alvechurch

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.51
Expected goals
1.01
KetteringAlvechurch
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kettering signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alvechurch signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Kettering vs Alvechurch FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kettering vunnen 43%,Oavgjort 29%,Alvechurch vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Över 2.5 46% · Current selection Under