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ENG England - Southern Premier League - Central · Spiel ·

Kettering vs Alvechurch

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg51%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg24%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg51% selection probability
Projected score2–1KetteringAlvechurch
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
51% / 24% / 24%SpielergebnisHeimsieg51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alvechurch win (24.2%)Doppelte Chance1X75.8%1.32
Über 46% · Unter 54%Goals 2.5Unter54%1.85
Ja 50% · Nein 50%Beide Teams treffenNein50%2.00
2.52 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapKettering winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kettering win51%1.961.7351.7%-0.7 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp
Alvechurch win24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kettering1.51

Heim share of expected goals 59.9%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 46% · Unter 54%

Alvechurch1.01

Auswärts share of expected goals 40.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nein 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Kettering

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Alvechurch

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.51
Expected goals
1.01
KetteringAlvechurch
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kettering signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alvechurch signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Kettering vs Alvechurch FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kettering Gewinn 51%,Unentschieden 24%,Alvechurch Gewinn 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Über 2.5 46% · Current selection Unter