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WAL Wales Championship North · Trận đấu ·

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score3–14.27 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng63%
Hòa19%
Đội khách thắng17%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng63% selection probability
Projected score3–1CaerswsGresford Athletic
Expected goals4.27Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài80% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
63% / 19% / 17%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gresford Athletic win (17.4%)Cơ hội kép1X82.6%1.21
Tài 80% · Xỉu 20%Goals 2.5Tài80%1.25
Có 66% · Không 34%Cả hai đội ghi bàn66%1.52
4.27 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác3–1
9.5 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapCaersws winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caersws win63%1.591.4562%+1.0 pp
Hòa19%5.264.5020%-1.0 pp
Gresford Athletic win17%5.885.0018%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caersws3.08

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 72.1%

Total expected goals4.27Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 80% · Xỉu 20%

Gresford Athletic1.19

Khách share of expected goals 27.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 66% · Không 34%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Caersws

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Gresford Athletic

0.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Điểm0

SignalChủ nhà won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Thắng probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
0
3.08
Expected goals
1.19
CaerswsGresford Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caersws signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gresford Athletic signalChủ nhà won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caersws thắng 63%,Hòa 19%,Gresford Athletic thắng 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.27 · Tài 2.5 80% · Current selection Tài