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WAL Wales - Championship North · Wedstrijd ·

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–14.27 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst63%
Gelijkspel19%
Uitwinst17%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst63% selection probability
Projected score3–1CaerswsGresford Athletic
Expected goals4.27Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven80% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
63% / 19% / 17%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gresford Athletic win (17.4%)Dubbele Kans1X82.6%1.21
Boven 80% · Onder 20%Goals 2.5Boven80%1.25
Ja 66% · Nee 34%Beide teams scorenJa66%1.52
4.27 total expected goalsExacte score3–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapCaersws winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caersws win63%1.591.4562%+1.0 pp
Gelijkspel19%5.264.5020%-1.0 pp
Gresford Athletic win17%5.885.0018%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caersws3.08

Thuis share of expected goals 72.1%

Total expected goals4.27Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 80% · Onder 20%

Gresford Athletic1.19

Uit share of expected goals 27.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nee 34%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Caersws

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Gresford Athletic

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punten0

SignalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
0
3.08
Expected goals
1.19
CaerswsGresford Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caersws signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gresford Athletic signalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caersws gewonnen 63%,Gelijkspel 19%,Gresford Athletic gewonnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.27 · Boven 2.5 80% · Current selection Boven