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WAL Tara Galilor - Campionat - Nord · Meci ·

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score3–14.27 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde63%
Egal19%
Victorie oaspeți17%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde63% selection probability
Projected score3–1CaerswsGresford Athletic
Expected goals4.27Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste80% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
63% / 19% / 17%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gresford Athletic win (17.4%)Șansă dublă1X82.6%1.21
Peste 80% · Sub 20%Goals 2.5Peste80%1.25
Da 66% · Nu 34%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa66%1.52
4.27 total expected goalsScor corect3–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapCaersws winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caersws win63%1.591.4562%+1.0 pp
Egal19%5.264.5020%-1.0 pp
Gresford Athletic win17%5.885.0018%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caersws3.08

Gazde share of expected goals 72.1%

Total expected goals4.27Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 80% · Sub 20%

Gresford Athletic1.19

Oaspeți share of expected goals 27.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitDa 66% · Nu 34%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Caersws

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Gresford Athletic

0.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Puncte0

SignalGazde won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Câștig probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
0
3.08
Expected goals
1.19
CaerswsGresford Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caersws signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gresford Athletic signalGazde won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caersws câștig 63%,Egal 19%,Gresford Athletic câștig 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.27 · Peste 2.5 80% · Current selection Peste