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WAL Campeonato de Gales - Norte · Partido ·

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score3–14.27 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local63%
Empate19%
Victoria visitante17%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local63% selection probability
Projected score3–1CaerswsGresford Athletic
Expected goals4.27Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de80% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
63% / 19% / 17%Resultado del partidoVictoria local63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gresford Athletic win (17.4%)Doble Oportunidad1X82.6%1.21
Más de 80% · Menos de 20%Goals 2.5Más de80%1.25
Sí 66% · No 34%Ambos equipos marcan66%1.52
4.27 total expected goalsMarcador exacto3–1
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapCaersws winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caersws win63%1.591.4562%+1.0 pp
Empate19%5.264.5020%-1.0 pp
Gresford Athletic win17%5.885.0018%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caersws3.08

Local share of expected goals 72.1%

Total expected goals4.27Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 80% · Menos de 20%

Gresford Athletic1.19

Visitante share of expected goals 27.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 66% · No 34%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Caersws

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Gresford Athletic

0.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Puntos0

SignalLocal won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Ganado probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
0
3.08
Expected goals
1.19
CaerswsGresford Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caersws signalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gresford Athletic signalLocal won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caersws ganada 63%,Empate 19%,Gresford Athletic ganada 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.27 · Más de 2.5 80% · Current selection Más de