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WAL Wales - Championship - Sever · Zápas ·

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score3–14.27 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich63%
Remíza19%
Výhra hostí17%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich63% selection probability
Projected score3–1CaerswsGresford Athletic
Expected goals4.27Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac80% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
63% / 19% / 17%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gresford Athletic win (17.4%)Dvojitá šanca1X82.6%1.21
Viac 80% · Menej 20%Goals 2.5Viac80%1.25
Áno 66% · Nie 34%Oba tímy skórujúÁno66%1.52
4.27 total expected goalsPresné skóre3–1
9.5 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapCaersws winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caersws win63%1.591.4562%+1.0 pp
Remíza19%5.264.5020%-1.0 pp
Gresford Athletic win17%5.885.0018%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caersws3.08

Domáci share of expected goals 72.1%

Total expected goals4.27Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 80% · Menej 20%

Gresford Athletic1.19

Hostia share of expected goals 27.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitÁno 66% · Nie 34%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Caersws

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Gresford Athletic

0.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Body0

SignalDomáci won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Výhra probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
0
3.08
Expected goals
1.19
CaerswsGresford Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caersws signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gresford Athletic signalDomáci won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caersws výhra 63%,Remíza 19%,Gresford Athletic výhra 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.27 · Viac 2.5 80% · Current selection Viac