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WAL Wales Championship - Sever · Zápas ·

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score3–14.27 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích63%
Remíza19%
Výhra hostů17%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích63% selection probability
Projected score3–1CaerswsGresford Athletic
Expected goals4.27Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více80% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
63% / 19% / 17%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gresford Athletic win (17.4%)Dvojitá šance1X82.6%1.21
Více 80% · Méně 20%Goals 2.5Více80%1.25
Ano 66% · Ne 34%Oba týmy skórujíAno66%1.52
4.27 total expected goalsPřesné skóre3–1
9.5 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapCaersws winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caersws win63%1.591.4562%+1.0 pp
Remíza19%5.264.5020%-1.0 pp
Gresford Athletic win17%5.885.0018%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caersws3.08

Domácí share of expected goals 72.1%

Total expected goals4.27Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 80% · Méně 20%

Gresford Athletic1.19

Hosté share of expected goals 27.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitAno 66% · Ne 34%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Caersws

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Gresford Athletic

0.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Body0

SignalDomácí won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Výhra probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
0
3.08
Expected goals
1.19
CaerswsGresford Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caersws signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gresford Athletic signalDomácí won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caersws výhra 63%,Remíza 19%,Gresford Athletic výhra 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.27 · Více 2.5 80% · Current selection Více