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PRT Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Maç ·

UD da Serra vs Alverca B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–13.39 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır41%
Beraberlik29%
Deplasman kazanır29%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır41% selection probability
Projected score2–1UD da SerraAlverca B
Expected goals3.39Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst66% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
41% / 29% / 29%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Çifte Şans1270.8%1.41
Üst 66% · Alt 34%Goals 2.5Üst66%1.52
Evet 57% · Hayır 43%Karşılıklı gol varEvet57%1.75
3.39 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.3 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapAlverca B winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD da Serra win41%2.442.3039.1%+1.9 pp
Beraberlik29%3.453.0030%-1.0 pp
Alverca B win29%3.452.9031%-2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD da Serra2.41

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 71.1%

Total expected goals3.39Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 66% · Alt 34%

Alverca B0.98

Deplasman share of expected goals 28.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 57% · Hayır 43%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

UD da Serra

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Alverca B

2.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puan12

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
12
2.41
Expected goals
0.98
UD da SerraAlverca B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD da Serra signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alverca B signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

UD da Serra vs Alverca B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD da Serra kazanç 41%,Beraberlik 29%,Alverca B kazanç 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · 2.5 Üst 66% · Current selection Üst