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PRT Portugalsko - Campeonato Nacional · Zápas ·

UD da Serra vs Alverca B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–13.39 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích41%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostů29%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích41% selection probability
Projected score2–1UD da SerraAlverca B
Expected goals3.39Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více66% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
41% / 29% / 29%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Dvojitá šance1270.8%1.41
Více 66% · Méně 34%Goals 2.5Více66%1.52
Ano 57% · Ne 43%Oba týmy skórujíAno57%1.75
3.39 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
9.3 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapAlverca B winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD da Serra win41%2.442.3039.1%+1.9 pp
Remíza29%3.453.0030%-1.0 pp
Alverca B win29%3.452.9031%-2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD da Serra2.41

Domácí share of expected goals 71.1%

Total expected goals3.39Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 66% · Méně 34%

Alverca B0.98

Hosté share of expected goals 28.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 57% · Ne 43%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

UD da Serra

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Alverca B

2.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalHosté unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Výhra probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
12
2.41
Expected goals
0.98
UD da SerraAlverca B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD da Serra signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alverca B signalHosté unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

UD da Serra vs Alverca B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD da Serra výhra 41%,Remíza 29%,Alverca B výhra 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Více 2.5 66% · Current selection Více