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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Partido ·

UD da Serra vs FC Alverca B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.39 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local41%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante29%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local41% selection probability
Projected score2–1UD da SerraFC Alverca B
Expected goals3.39Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de66% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
41% / 29% / 29%Resultado del partidoVictoria local41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Doble Oportunidad1270.8%1.41
Más de 66% · Menos de 34%Goals 2.5Más de66%1.52
Sí 57% · No 43%Ambos equipos marcan57%1.75
3.39 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapFC Alverca B winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD da Serra win41%2.442.3039.1%+1.9 pp
Empate29%3.453.0030%-1.0 pp
FC Alverca B win29%3.452.9031%-2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD da Serra2.41

Local share of expected goals 71.1%

Total expected goals3.39Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 66% · Menos de 34%

FC Alverca B0.98

Visitante share of expected goals 28.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 57% · No 43%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

UD da Serra

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FC Alverca B

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Ganado probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
12
2.41
Expected goals
0.98
UD da SerraFC Alverca B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD da Serra signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Alverca B signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

UD da Serra vs FC Alverca B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD da Serra ganada 41%,Empate 29%,FC Alverca B ganada 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Más de 2.5 66% · Current selection Más de