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PRT Португалия - Кампеонато Насионал · Мач ·

UD da Serra vs Алверка Б

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.39 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина41%
Равен29%
Победа за госта29%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина41% selection probability
Projected score2–1UD da SerraАлверка Б
Expected goals3.39Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над66% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
41% / 29% / 29%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Двоен шанс1270.8%1.41
Над 66% · Под 34%Goals 2.5Над66%1.52
Да 57% · Не 43%И двата отбора да отбележатДа57%1.75
3.39 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.3 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapАлверка Б winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD da Serra win41%2.442.3039.1%+1.9 pp
Равен29%3.453.0030%-1.0 pp
Алверка Б win29%3.452.9031%-2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD da Serra2.41

Домакин share of expected goals 71.1%

Total expected goals3.39Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 66% · Под 34%

Алверка Б0.98

Гост share of expected goals 28.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Не 43%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

UD da Serra

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Алверка Б

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalГост unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
12
2.41
Expected goals
0.98
UD da SerraАлверка Б
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD da Serra signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Алверка Б signalГост unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

UD da Serra vs Алверка Б FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD da Serra печеливш 41%,Равен 29%,Алверка Б печеливш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Над 2.5 66% · Current selection Над