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PRT Portugalia - Campeonato Nacional · Meci ·

UD da Serra vs Alverca B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.39 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde41%
Egal29%
Victorie oaspeți29%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde41% selection probability
Projected score2–1UD da SerraAlverca B
Expected goals3.39Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste66% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
41% / 29% / 29%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Șansă dublă1270.8%1.41
Peste 66% · Sub 34%Goals 2.5Peste66%1.52
Da 57% · Nu 43%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57%1.75
3.39 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapAlverca B winDifference-2.0 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD da Serra win41%2.442.3039.1%+1.9 pp
Egal29%3.453.0030%-1.0 pp
Alverca B win29%3.452.9031%-2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD da Serra2.41

Gazde share of expected goals 71.1%

Total expected goals3.39Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 66% · Sub 34%

Alverca B0.98

Oaspeți share of expected goals 28.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 57% · Nu 43%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

UD da Serra

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Alverca B

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Câștig probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
12
2.41
Expected goals
0.98
UD da SerraAlverca B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD da Serra signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alverca B signalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

UD da Serra vs Alverca B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD da Serra câștig 41%,Egal 29%,Alverca B câștig 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Peste 2.5 66% · Current selection Peste