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EUR UEFA Champions League Qualifying · Maç ·

AEK Athens vs Levski Sofia

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.76 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır61%
Beraberlik23%
Deplasman kazanır15%
Market-based forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier B · 61% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır61% selection probability
Projected score2–1AEK AthensLevski Sofia
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst52% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
61% / 23% / 15%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Levski Sofia win (15.3%)Çifte Şans1X84.7%1.18
Üst 52% · Alt 48%Goals 2.5Üst52%1.92
Evet 53% · Hayır 47%Karşılıklı gol varEvet53%1.89
2.76 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
8.9 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimYok
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AEK Athens win61%1.641.4462.5%
Beraberlik23%4.353.9023.1%
Levski Sofia win15%6.676.2514.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AEK Athens1.83

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 52% · Alt 48%

Levski Sofia0.93

Deplasman share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 53% · Hayır 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

AEK Athens

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Levski Sofia

2.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puan13

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
15%
8
Points from supplied form
13
1.83
Expected goals
0.93
AEK AthensLevski Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AEK Athens signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Levski Sofia signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

AEK Athens vs Levski Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AEK Athens kazanç 61%,Beraberlik 23%,Levski Sofia kazanç 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · 2.5 Üst 52% · Current selection Üst