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EUR UEFA Champions League - Kwalificatie · Wedstrijd ·

AEK Athene vs Levski Sofia

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.76 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst61%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst15%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 61% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst61% selection probability
Projected score2–1AEK AtheneLevski Sofia
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
61% / 23% / 15%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Levski Sofia win (15.3%)Dubbele Kans1X84.7%1.18
Boven 52% · Onder 48%Goals 2.5Boven52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.76 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AEK Athene win61%1.641.4462.5%
Gelijkspel23%4.353.9023.1%
Levski Sofia win15%6.676.2514.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AEK Athene1.83

Thuis share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 52% · Onder 48%

Levski Sofia0.93

Uit share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

AEK Athene

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Levski Sofia

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
15%
8
Points from supplied form
13
1.83
Expected goals
0.93
AEK AtheneLevski Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AEK Athene signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Levski Sofia signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

AEK Athene vs Levski Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AEK Athene gewonnen 61%,Gelijkspel 23%,Levski Sofia gewonnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Boven 2.5 52% · Current selection Boven