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EUR UEFA Champions League - Qualifikation · Spiel ·

AEK Athen vs Levski Sofia

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg63%
Unentschieden23%
Auswärtssieg14%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 63% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg63% selection probability
Projected score2–1AEK AthenLevski Sofia
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
63% / 23% / 14%SpielergebnisHeimsieg63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Levski Sofia win (13.9%)Doppelte Chance1X86.1%1.16
Über 52% · Unter 48%Goals 2.5Über52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nein 47%Beide Teams treffenJa53%1.89
2.77 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AEK Athen win63%1.591.4064.5%
Unentschieden23%4.354.0022.6%
Levski Sofia win14%7.147.0012.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AEK Athen1.87

Heim share of expected goals 67.5%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 52% · Unter 48%

Levski Sofia0.90

Auswärts share of expected goals 32.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nein 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

AEK Athen

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Levski Sofia

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
14%
8
Points from supplied form
13
1.87
Expected goals
0.90
AEK AthenLevski Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AEK Athen signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Levski Sofia signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

AEK Athen vs Levski Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AEK Athen Gewinn 63%,Unentschieden 23%,Levski Sofia Gewinn 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Über 2.5 52% · Current selection Über