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EUR UEFA Champions League - Квал. · Матч ·

АЕК Афины vs Левски София

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.76 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев61%
Ничья23%
Победа гостей15%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 61% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев61% selection probability
Projected score2–1АЕК АфиныЛевски София
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
61% / 23% / 15%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Левски София win (15.3%)Двойной шанс1X84.7%1.18
Больше 52% · Меньше 48%Goals 2.5Больше52%1.92
Да 53% · Нет 47%Обе забьютДа53%1.89
2.76 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.9 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
АЕК Афины win61%1.641.4462.5%
Ничья23%4.353.9023.1%
Левски София win15%6.676.2514.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

АЕК Афины1.83

Хозяева share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 52% · Меньше 48%

Левски София0.93

Гости share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Нет 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

АЕК Афины

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Левски София

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
15%
8
Points from supplied form
13
1.83
Expected goals
0.93
АЕК АфиныЛевски София
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01АЕК Афины signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Левски София signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

АЕК Афины vs Левски София FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

АЕК Афины выигрыш 61%,Ничья 23%,Левски София выигрыш 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · ТБ 2.5 52% · Current selection Больше