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EUR UEFA Champions League - Kval · Match ·

AEK Aten vs Levski Sofia

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger63%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger14%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 63% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger63% selection probability
Projected score2–1AEK AtenLevski Sofia
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
63% / 23% / 14%MatchresultatHemmaseger63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Levski Sofia win (13.9%)Dubbelchans1X86.1%1.16
Över 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Över52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.77 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.9 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AEK Aten win63%1.591.4064.5%
Oavgjort23%4.354.0022.6%
Levski Sofia win14%7.147.0012.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AEK Aten1.87

Hemma share of expected goals 67.5%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 52% · Under 48%

Levski Sofia0.90

Borta share of expected goals 32.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

AEK Aten

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Levski Sofia

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
14%
8
Points from supplied form
13
1.87
Expected goals
0.90
AEK AtenLevski Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AEK Aten signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Levski Sofia signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

AEK Aten vs Levski Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AEK Aten vunnen 63%,Oavgjort 23%,Levski Sofia vunnen 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Över 2.5 52% · Current selection Över