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EUR UEFA Champions League - kvalifikatsioon · Mäng ·

Ateena AEK vs Sofia Levski

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.76 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit61%
Viik23%
Võõrsilvõit15%
Market-based forecastKoduvõitTier B · 61% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ateena AEKSofia Levski
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle52% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
61% / 23% / 15%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sofia Levski win (15.3%)Topeltvõimalus1X84.7%1.18
Üle 52% · Alla 48%Goals 2.5Üle52%1.92
Jah 53% · Ei 47%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah53%1.89
2.76 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
8.9 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimPuudub
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ateena AEK win61%1.641.4462.5%
Viik23%4.353.9023.1%
Sofia Levski win15%6.676.2514.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ateena AEK1.83

Kodu share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 52% · Alla 48%

Sofia Levski0.93

Võõras share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 53% · Ei 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Ateena AEK

1.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punktid8

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Sofia Levski

2.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punktid13

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Võit probability excluding draw
15%
8
Points from supplied form
13
1.83
Expected goals
0.93
Ateena AEKSofia Levski
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ateena AEK signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sofia Levski signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Ateena AEK vs Sofia Levski FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ateena AEK võit 61%,Viik 23%,Sofia Levski võit 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Üle 2.5 52% · Current selection Üle