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LTU Lithuania A Lyga · Maç ·

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–13.23 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır72%
Beraberlik17%
Deplasman kazanır12%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır72% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Kauno ZalgirisFC Hegelmann
Expected goals3.23Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst62% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
72% / 17% / 12%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Hegelmann win (11.6%)Çifte Şans1X88.4%1.13
Üst 62% · Alt 38%Goals 2.5Üst62%1.61
Evet 53% · Hayır 47%Karşılıklı gol varEvet53%1.89
3.23 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.6 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapFK Kauno Zalgiris winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kauno Zalgiris win72%1.391.2971.6%+0.4 pp
Beraberlik17%5.885.5016.8%+0.2 pp
FC Hegelmann win12%8.338.0011.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kauno Zalgiris2.34

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.23Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 62% · Alt 38%

FC Hegelmann0.89

Deplasman share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 53% · Hayır 47%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

FC Hegelmann

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.34
Expected goals
0.89
FK Kauno ZalgirisFC Hegelmann
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kauno Zalgiris signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Hegelmann signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kauno Zalgiris kazanç 72%,Beraberlik 17%,FC Hegelmann kazanç 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · 2.5 Üst 62% · Current selection Üst