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LTU Litauen - A Lyga · Match ·

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.23 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger72%
Oavgjort17%
Bortaseger12%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger72% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Kauno ZalgirisFC Hegelmann
Expected goals3.23Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över62% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
72% / 17% / 12%MatchresultatHemmaseger72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Hegelmann win (11.6%)Dubbelchans1X88.4%1.13
Över 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Över62%1.61
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
3.23 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapFK Kauno Zalgiris winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kauno Zalgiris win72%1.391.2971.6%+0.4 pp
Oavgjort17%5.885.5016.8%+0.2 pp
FC Hegelmann win12%8.338.0011.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kauno Zalgiris2.34

Hemma share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.23Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 62% · Under 38%

FC Hegelmann0.89

Borta share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FC Hegelmann

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.34
Expected goals
0.89
FK Kauno ZalgirisFC Hegelmann
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kauno Zalgiris signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Hegelmann signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kauno Zalgiris vunnen 72%,Oavgjort 17%,FC Hegelmann vunnen 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Över 2.5 62% · Current selection Över