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LTU Lithuania A Lyga · Trận đấu ·

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–13.23 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng72%
Hòa17%
Đội khách thắng12%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng72% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Kauno ZalgirisFC Hegelmann
Expected goals3.23Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài62% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
72% / 17% / 12%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Hegelmann win (11.6%)Cơ hội kép1X88.4%1.13
Tài 62% · Xỉu 38%Goals 2.5Tài62%1.61
Có 53% · Không 47%Cả hai đội ghi bàn53%1.89
3.23 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
9.6 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapFK Kauno Zalgiris winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kauno Zalgiris win72%1.391.2971.6%+0.4 pp
Hòa17%5.885.5016.8%+0.2 pp
FC Hegelmann win12%8.338.0011.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kauno Zalgiris2.34

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.23Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 62% · Xỉu 38%

FC Hegelmann0.89

Khách share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · Không 47%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

FC Hegelmann

0.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Điểm4

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Thắng probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.34
Expected goals
0.89
FK Kauno ZalgirisFC Hegelmann
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kauno Zalgiris signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Hegelmann signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kauno Zalgiris thắng 72%,Hòa 17%,FC Hegelmann thắng 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Tài 2.5 62% · Current selection Tài