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LTU Lituania - A Lyga · Partita ·

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.23 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa72%
Pareggio17%
Vittoria ospite12%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa72% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Kauno ZalgirisFC Hegelmann
Expected goals3.23Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra62% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
72% / 17% / 12%Esito partitaVittoria casa72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Hegelmann win (11.6%)Doppia Chance1X88.4%1.13
Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%Goals 2.5Sopra62%1.61
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnano53%1.89
3.23 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapFK Kauno Zalgiris winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kauno Zalgiris win72%1.391.2971.6%+0.4 pp
Pareggio17%5.885.5016.8%+0.2 pp
FC Hegelmann win12%8.338.0011.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kauno Zalgiris2.34

Casa share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.23Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%

FC Hegelmann0.89

Trasferta share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

FC Hegelmann

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Vinta probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.34
Expected goals
0.89
FK Kauno ZalgirisFC Hegelmann
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kauno Zalgiris signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Hegelmann signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kauno Zalgiris vinta 72%,Pareggio 17%,FC Hegelmann vinta 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Sopra 2.5 62% · Current selection Sopra