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LTU Lithuania A Lyga · Kamp ·

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.23 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier72%
Uavgjort17%
Borteseier12%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier72% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Kauno ZalgirisFC Hegelmann
Expected goals3.23Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
72% / 17% / 12%KampresultatHjemmeseier72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Hegelmann win (11.6%)Dobbel sjanse1X88.4%1.13
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Ja 53% · Nei 47%Begge lag scorerJa53%1.89
3.23 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapFK Kauno Zalgiris winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kauno Zalgiris win72%1.391.2971.6%+0.4 pp
Uavgjort17%5.885.5016.8%+0.2 pp
FC Hegelmann win12%8.338.0011.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kauno Zalgiris2.34

Hjemme share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.23Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

FC Hegelmann0.89

Borte share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nei 47%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

FC Hegelmann

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.34
Expected goals
0.89
FK Kauno ZalgirisFC Hegelmann
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kauno Zalgiris signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Hegelmann signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kauno Zalgiris vunnet 72%,Uavgjort 17%,FC Hegelmann vunnet 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over