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PRY Paraguay Division Intermedia · Maç ·

Independiente FBC vs Resistencia FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır40%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır32%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır40% selection probability
Projected score2–1Independiente FBCResistencia FC
Expected goals3.14Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst61% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
40% / 28% / 32%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Çifte Şans1272.3%1.38
Üst 61% · Alt 39%Goals 2.5Üst61%1.64
Evet 63% · Hayır 37%Karşılıklı gol varEvet63%1.59
3.14 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
8.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapIndependiente FBC winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente FBC win40%2.502.2539.9%+0.1 pp
Beraberlik28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
Resistencia FC win32%3.132.8032.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente FBC1.67

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals3.14Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 61% · Alt 39%

Resistencia FC1.47

Deplasman share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 63% · Hayır 37%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Independiente FBC

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Resistencia FC

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.67
Expected goals
1.47
Independiente FBCResistencia FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente FBC signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Resistencia FC signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Independiente FBC vs Resistencia FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente FBC kazanç 40%,Beraberlik 28%,Resistencia FC kazanç 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · 2.5 Üst 61% · Current selection Üst