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PRY Paraguai - Division Intermedia · Partida ·

Independiente FBC vs Resistencia FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa46%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante28%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Independiente FBCResistencia FC
Expected goals3.14Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima61% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
46% / 27% / 28%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Dupla Chance1273.1%1.37
Acima 61% · Abaixo 39%Goals 2.5Acima61%1.64
Sim 63% · Não 37%Ambas as equipes marcamSim63%1.59
3.14 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapResistencia FC winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente FBC win46%2.171.9545.8%+0.2 pp
Empate27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Resistencia FC win28%3.573.3027.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente FBC1.67

Mandante share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals3.14Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 61% · Abaixo 39%

Resistencia FC1.47

Visitante share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 63% · Não 37%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Independiente FBC

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Pontos4

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Resistencia FC

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.67
Expected goals
1.47
Independiente FBCResistencia FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente FBC signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Resistencia FC signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Independiente FBC vs Resistencia FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente FBC ganhou 46%,Empate 27%,Resistencia FC ganhou 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Acima 2.5 61% · Current selection Acima