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PRY Paraguay - Division Intermedia · Meci ·

Independiente FBC vs Resistencia FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde46%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți28%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Independiente FBCResistencia FC
Expected goals3.14Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste61% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
46% / 27% / 28%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Șansă dublă1273.1%1.37
Peste 61% · Sub 39%Goals 2.5Peste61%1.64
Da 63% · Nu 37%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa63%1.59
3.14 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapResistencia FC winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente FBC win46%2.171.9545.8%+0.2 pp
Egal27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Resistencia FC win28%3.573.3027.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente FBC1.67

Gazde share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals3.14Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 61% · Sub 39%

Resistencia FC1.47

Oaspeți share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 63% · Nu 37%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Independiente FBC

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Puncte4

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Resistencia FC

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Câștig probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.67
Expected goals
1.47
Independiente FBCResistencia FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente FBC signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Resistencia FC signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Independiente FBC vs Resistencia FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente FBC câștig 46%,Egal 27%,Resistencia FC câștig 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Peste 2.5 61% · Current selection Peste