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PRY Paraguay Division Intermedia · Partido ·

Independiente FBC vs Resistencia FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local47%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante26%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Independiente FBCResistencia FC
Expected goals3.14Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de61% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
47% / 27% / 26%Resultado del partidoVictoria local47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Resistencia FC win (26.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X73.8%1.36
Más de 61% · Menos de 39%Goals 2.5Más de61%1.64
Sí 63% · No 37%Ambos equipos marcan63%1.59
3.14 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapResistencia FC winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente FBC win47%2.131.9047.2%-0.2 pp
Empate27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Resistencia FC win26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente FBC1.67

Local share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals3.14Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 61% · Menos de 39%

Resistencia FC1.47

Visitante share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 63% · No 37%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Independiente FBC

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Puntos4

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Resistencia FC

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Ganado probability excluding draw
26%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.67
Expected goals
1.47
Independiente FBCResistencia FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente FBC signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Resistencia FC signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Independiente FBC vs Resistencia FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente FBC ganada 47%,Empate 27%,Resistencia FC ganada 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Más de 2.5 61% · Current selection Más de