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PRY Paraguay - Division Intermedia · Mérkőzés ·

Independiente FBC vs Resistencia FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem40%
Döntetlen28%
Vendég győzelem32%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem40% selection probability
Projected score2–1Independiente FBCResistencia FC
Expected goals3.14Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett61% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
40% / 28% / 32%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Dupla esély1272.3%1.38
Felett 61% · Alatt 39%Goals 2.5Felett61%1.64
Igen 63% · Nem 37%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen63%1.59
3.14 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
8.5 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapIndependiente FBC winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente FBC win40%2.502.2539.9%+0.1 pp
Döntetlen28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
Resistencia FC win32%3.132.8032.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente FBC1.67

Hazai share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals3.14Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 61% · Alatt 39%

Resistencia FC1.47

Vendég share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 63% · Nem 37%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Independiente FBC

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Pontok4

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Resistencia FC

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Nyert probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.67
Expected goals
1.47
Independiente FBCResistencia FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente FBC signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Resistencia FC signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Independiente FBC vs Resistencia FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente FBC nyer 40%,Döntetlen 28%,Resistencia FC nyer 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · 2.5 felett 61% · Current selection Felett