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HND Honduras Liga Nacional · Round 1 ·

Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.50 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır36%
Beraberlik27%
Deplasman kazanır37%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lobos UPNFMOlancho FC
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt54% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
36% / 27% / 37%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Çifte Şans1272.9%1.37
Üst 46% · Alt 54%Goals 2.5Alt54%1.85
Evet 50% · Hayır 50%Karşılıklı gol varEvet50%2.00
2.50 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
10.1 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapLobos UPNFM winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lobos UPNFM win36%2.782.4536.5%-0.5 pp
Beraberlik27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Olancho FC win37%2.702.4536.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lobos UPNFM1.04

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 41.6%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 46% · Alt 54%

Olancho FC1.46

Deplasman share of expected goals 58.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 50% · Hayır 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Lobos UPNFM

0.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puan1

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Olancho FC

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalDeplasman unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.04
Expected goals
1.46
Lobos UPNFMOlancho FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lobos UPNFM signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olancho FC signalDeplasman unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lobos UPNFM kazanç 36%,Beraberlik 27%,Olancho FC kazanç 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · 2.5 Üst 46% · Current selection Alt