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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Round 1 ·

Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho F.C.

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.50 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local36%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante37%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lobos UPNFMOlancho F.C.
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
36% / 27% / 37%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Doble Oportunidad1272.9%1.37
Más de 46% · Menos de 54%Goals 2.5Menos de54%1.85
Sí 50% · No 50%Ambos equipos marcan50%2.00
2.50 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapLobos UPNFM winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lobos UPNFM win36%2.782.4536.5%-0.5 pp
Empate27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Olancho F.C. win37%2.702.4536.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lobos UPNFM1.04

Local share of expected goals 41.6%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 46% · Menos de 54%

Olancho F.C.1.46

Visitante share of expected goals 58.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Lobos UPNFM

0.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puntos1

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Olancho F.C.

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalVisitante unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganado probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.04
Expected goals
1.46
Lobos UPNFMOlancho F.C.
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lobos UPNFM signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olancho F.C. signalVisitante unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho F.C. FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lobos UPNFM ganada 36%,Empate 27%,Olancho F.C. ganada 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Más de 2.5 46% · Current selection Menos de