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HND Хондурас - Лига Насионал · Round 1 ·

Лобос UPNFM vs ФК Оланчо

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.50 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина36%
Равен27%
Победа за госта37%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Лобос UPNFMФК Оланчо
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
36% / 27% / 37%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Двоен шанс1272.9%1.37
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 50% · Не 50%И двата отбора да отбележатДа50%2.00
2.50 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.1 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapЛобос UPNFM winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Лобос UPNFM win36%2.782.4536.5%-0.5 pp
Равен27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
ФК Оланчо win37%2.702.4536.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Лобос UPNFM1.04

Домакин share of expected goals 41.6%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

ФК Оланчо1.46

Гост share of expected goals 58.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Не 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Лобос UPNFM

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ФК Оланчо

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalГост unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.04
Expected goals
1.46
Лобос UPNFMФК Оланчо
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Лобос UPNFM signalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Оланчо signalГост unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Лобос UPNFM vs ФК Оланчо FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Лобос UPNFM печеливш 36%,Равен 27%,ФК Оланчо печеливш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под