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ARG Argentina - Reservligan · Match ·

Real Pilar reserver vs Argentino Merlo reserver

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–13.71 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger67%
Oavgjort19%
Bortaseger15%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger67% selection probability
Projected score3–1Real Pilar reserverArgentino Merlo reserver
Expected goals3.71Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över72% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
67% / 19% / 15%MatchresultatHemmaseger67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino Merlo reserver win (14.6%)Dubbelchans1X85.4%1.17
Över 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Över72%1.39
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Båda lagen gör målJa59%1.69
3.71 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapReal Pilar reserver winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Pilar reserver win67%1.491.3666.1%+0.9 pp
Oavgjort19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
Argentino Merlo reserver win15%6.676.0015%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Pilar reserver2.73

Hemma share of expected goals 73.6%

Total expected goals3.71Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 72% · Under 28%

Argentino Merlo reserver0.98

Borta share of expected goals 26.4%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Real Pilar reserver

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Argentino Merlo reserver

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
15%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.73
Expected goals
0.98
Real Pilar reserverArgentino Merlo reserver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Pilar reserver signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Argentino Merlo reserver signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Real Pilar reserver vs Argentino Merlo reserver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Pilar reserver vunnen 67%,Oavgjort 19%,Argentino Merlo reserver vunnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.71 · Över 2.5 72% · Current selection Över