Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
67% / 19% / 15%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino Merlo - Reserves win (14.6%)Dubbele Kans1X85.4%1.17
Boven 72% · Onder 28%Goals 2.5Boven72%1.39
Ja 59% · Nee 41%Beide teams scorenJa59%1.69
3.71 total expected goalsExacte score3–1——
9.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapReal Pilar - Reserves winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Pilar - Reserves win67%1.491.3666.1%+0.9 pp
Gelijkspel19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
Argentino Merlo - Reserves win15%6.676.0015%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 73.6%
Total expected goals3.71Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 72% · Onder 28%
Uit share of expected goals 26.4%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nee 41%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchReal Pilar - Reserves
WLWLW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9
SignalThuis won 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchArgentino Merlo - Reserves
WDLLL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
67%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
15%9
Points from supplied form
42.73
Expected goals
0.98Real Pilar - ReservesArgentino Merlo - Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 19%.
Match questions
Real Pilar - Reserves vs Argentino Merlo - Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Real Pilar - Reserves gewonnen 67%，Gelijkspel 19%，Argentino Merlo - Reserves gewonnen 15%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.71 · Boven 2.5 72% · Current selection Boven。