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ARG Argentina Reserve League · Kamp ·

Real Pilar reserver vs Argentino Merlo reserver

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–13.71 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier67%
Uavgjort19%
Borteseier15%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier67% selection probability
Projected score3–1Real Pilar reserverArgentino Merlo reserver
Expected goals3.71Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
67% / 19% / 15%KampresultatHjemmeseier67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino Merlo reserver win (14.6%)Dobbel sjanse1X85.4%1.17
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Ja 59% · Nei 41%Begge lag scorerJa59%1.69
3.71 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapReal Pilar reserver winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Pilar reserver win67%1.491.3666.1%+0.9 pp
Uavgjort19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
Argentino Merlo reserver win15%6.676.0015%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Pilar reserver2.73

Hjemme share of expected goals 73.6%

Total expected goals3.71Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

Argentino Merlo reserver0.98

Borte share of expected goals 26.4%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nei 41%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Real Pilar reserver

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Argentino Merlo reserver

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
15%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.73
Expected goals
0.98
Real Pilar reserverArgentino Merlo reserver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Pilar reserver signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Argentino Merlo reserver signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Real Pilar reserver vs Argentino Merlo reserver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Pilar reserver vunnet 67%,Uavgjort 19%,Argentino Merlo reserver vunnet 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.71 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over