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ARG Argentina reservide liiga · Mäng ·

Real Pilar - reservid vs Argentino Merlo - reservid

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score3–13.71 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit67%
Viik19%
Võõrsilvõit15%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit67% selection probability
Projected score3–1Real Pilar - reservidArgentino Merlo - reservid
Expected goals3.71Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle72% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
67% / 19% / 15%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino Merlo - reservid win (14.6%)Topeltvõimalus1X85.4%1.17
Üle 72% · Alla 28%Goals 2.5Üle72%1.39
Jah 59% · Ei 41%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah59%1.69
3.71 total expected goalsTäpne skoor3–1
9.1 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapReal Pilar - reservid winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Pilar - reservid win67%1.491.3666.1%+0.9 pp
Viik19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
Argentino Merlo - reservid win15%6.676.0015%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Pilar - reservid2.73

Kodu share of expected goals 73.6%

Total expected goals3.71Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 72% · Alla 28%

Argentino Merlo - reservid0.98

Võõras share of expected goals 26.4%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJah 59% · Ei 41%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Real Pilar - reservid

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalKodu won 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Argentino Merlo - reservid

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Võit probability excluding draw
15%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.73
Expected goals
0.98
Real Pilar - reservidArgentino Merlo - reservid
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Pilar - reservid signalKodu won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Argentino Merlo - reservid signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Real Pilar - reservid vs Argentino Merlo - reservid FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Pilar - reservid võit 67%,Viik 19%,Argentino Merlo - reservid võit 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.71 · Üle 2.5 72% · Current selection Üle