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ARG Argentyna - Liga rezerwowa · Mecz ·

Real Pilar - Rezerwa vs Argentino Merlo - Rezerwa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score3–13.71 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy67%
Remis19%
Wygrana gości15%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy67% selection probability
Projected score3–1Real Pilar - RezerwaArgentino Merlo - Rezerwa
Expected goals3.71Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej72% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
67% / 19% / 15%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino Merlo - Rezerwa win (14.6%)Podwójna szansa1X85.4%1.17
Powyżej 72% · Poniżej 28%Goals 2.5Powyżej72%1.39
Tak 59% · Nie 41%Obie drużyny strzeląTak59%1.69
3.71 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–1
9.1 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapReal Pilar - Rezerwa winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Pilar - Rezerwa win67%1.491.3666.1%+0.9 pp
Remis19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
Argentino Merlo - Rezerwa win15%6.676.0015%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Pilar - Rezerwa2.73

Gospodarze share of expected goals 73.6%

Total expected goals3.71Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 72% · Poniżej 28%

Argentino Merlo - Rezerwa0.98

Goście share of expected goals 26.4%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitTak 59% · Nie 41%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Real Pilar - Rezerwa

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Argentino Merlo - Rezerwa

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
15%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.73
Expected goals
0.98
Real Pilar - RezerwaArgentino Merlo - Rezerwa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Pilar - Rezerwa signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Argentino Merlo - Rezerwa signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Real Pilar - Rezerwa vs Argentino Merlo - Rezerwa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Pilar - Rezerwa wygrana 67%,Remis 19%,Argentino Merlo - Rezerwa wygrana 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.71 · Powyżej 2.5 72% · Current selection Powyżej