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ARG Argentina - Torneo de Reserva · Partido ·

Real Pilar - B vs Argentino Merlo - B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score3–13.71 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local67%
Empate19%
Victoria visitante15%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local67% selection probability
Projected score3–1Real Pilar - BArgentino Merlo - B
Expected goals3.71Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de72% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
67% / 19% / 15%Resultado del partidoVictoria local67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino Merlo - B win (14.6%)Doble Oportunidad1X85.4%1.17
Más de 72% · Menos de 28%Goals 2.5Más de72%1.39
Sí 59% · No 41%Ambos equipos marcan59%1.69
3.71 total expected goalsMarcador exacto3–1
9.1 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapReal Pilar - B winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Pilar - B win67%1.491.3666.1%+0.9 pp
Empate19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
Argentino Merlo - B win15%6.676.0015%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Pilar - B2.73

Local share of expected goals 73.6%

Total expected goals3.71Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 72% · Menos de 28%

Argentino Merlo - B0.98

Visitante share of expected goals 26.4%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Real Pilar - B

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Argentino Merlo - B

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Ganado probability excluding draw
15%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.73
Expected goals
0.98
Real Pilar - BArgentino Merlo - B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Pilar - B signalLocal won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Argentino Merlo - B signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Real Pilar - B vs Argentino Merlo - B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Pilar - B ganada 67%,Empate 19%,Argentino Merlo - B ganada 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.71 · Más de 2.5 72% · Current selection Más de