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PRT Portugal U23 League · Match ·

Maritimo U23 vs Estrela Amadora U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger43%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger30%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Maritimo U23Estrela Amadora U23
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
43% / 27% / 30%MatchresultatHemmaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Dubbelchans1273.4%1.36
Över 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Ja 47% · Nej 53%Båda lagen gör målNej53%1.89
2.31 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapMaritimo U23 winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maritimo U23 win43%2.332.0543.7%-0.7 pp
Oavgjort27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
Estrela Amadora U23 win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maritimo U231.13

Hemma share of expected goals 48.9%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 40% · Under 60%

Estrela Amadora U231.18

Borta share of expected goals 51.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nej 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Maritimo U23

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Estrela Amadora U23

0.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Poäng0

SignalBorta failed to score: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
0
1.13
Expected goals
1.18
Maritimo U23Estrela Amadora U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maritimo U23 signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estrela Amadora U23 signalBorta failed to score: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Maritimo U23 vs Estrela Amadora U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maritimo U23 vunnen 43%,Oavgjort 27%,Estrela Amadora U23 vunnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Över 2.5 40% · Current selection Under