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PRT Portugal - Liga de Sub23 · Partida ·

CS Marítimo Sub23 vs Estrela da Amadora Sub23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa43%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante30%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa43% selection probability
Projected score1–1CS Marítimo Sub23Estrela da Amadora Sub23
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo60% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
43% / 27% / 30%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Dupla Chance1273.4%1.36
Acima 40% · Abaixo 60%Goals 2.5Abaixo60%1.67
Sim 47% · Não 53%Ambas as equipes marcamNão53%1.89
2.31 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapCS Marítimo Sub23 winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CS Marítimo Sub23 win43%2.332.0543.7%-0.7 pp
Empate27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
Estrela da Amadora Sub23 win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CS Marítimo Sub231.13

Mandante share of expected goals 48.9%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 40% · Abaixo 60%

Estrela da Amadora Sub231.18

Visitante share of expected goals 51.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 47% · Não 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

CS Marítimo Sub23

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Estrela da Amadora Sub23

0.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Pontos0

SignalVisitante failed to score: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
0
1.13
Expected goals
1.18
CS Marítimo Sub23Estrela da Amadora Sub23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CS Marítimo Sub23 signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estrela da Amadora Sub23 signalVisitante failed to score: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CS Marítimo Sub23 vs Estrela da Amadora Sub23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CS Marítimo Sub23 ganhou 43%,Empate 27%,Estrela da Amadora Sub23 ganhou 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Acima 2.5 40% · Current selection Abaixo