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PRT Portugal - Ligue U23 · Match ·

Maritimo - U23 vs Estrela Amadora - U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile43%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur30%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Maritimo - U23Estrela Amadora - U23
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
43% / 27% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Double chance1273.4%1.36
Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%Goals 2.5Moins de60%1.67
Oui 47% · Non 53%Les deux équipes marquentNon53%1.89
2.31 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapMaritimo - U23 winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maritimo - U23 win43%2.332.0543.7%-0.7 pp
Nul27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
Estrela Amadora - U23 win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maritimo - U231.13

Domicile share of expected goals 48.9%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%

Estrela Amadora - U231.18

Extérieur share of expected goals 51.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 47% · Non 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Maritimo - U23

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Estrela Amadora - U23

0.00pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalExtérieur failed to score: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
0
1.13
Expected goals
1.18
Maritimo - U23Estrela Amadora - U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maritimo - U23 signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estrela Amadora - U23 signalExtérieur failed to score: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Maritimo - U23 vs Estrela Amadora - U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maritimo - U23 victoire 43%,Nul 27%,Estrela Amadora - U23 victoire 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Plus de 2.5 40% · Current selection Moins de