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UTC+8
IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
Magyar
PRT Portugál U23 liga · Mérkőzés ·

Maritimo - U23 vs Estrela Amadora - U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem43%
Döntetlen27%
Vendég győzelem30%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Maritimo - U23Estrela Amadora - U23
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt60% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
43% / 27% / 30%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Dupla esély1273.4%1.36
Felett 40% · Alatt 60%Goals 2.5Alatt60%1.67
Igen 47% · Nem 53%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem53%1.89
2.31 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
9.3 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapMaritimo - U23 winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maritimo - U23 win43%2.332.0543.7%-0.7 pp
Döntetlen27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
Estrela Amadora - U23 win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maritimo - U231.13

Hazai share of expected goals 48.9%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 40% · Alatt 60%

Estrela Amadora - U231.18

Vendég share of expected goals 51.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 47% · Nem 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Maritimo - U23

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Estrela Amadora - U23

0.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Pontok0

SignalVendég failed to score: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Nyert probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
0
1.13
Expected goals
1.18
Maritimo - U23Estrela Amadora - U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maritimo - U23 signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estrela Amadora - U23 signalVendég failed to score: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Maritimo - U23 vs Estrela Amadora - U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maritimo - U23 nyer 43%,Döntetlen 27%,Estrela Amadora - U23 nyer 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · 2.5 felett 40% · Current selection Alatt