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VEN Venezuela - Segunda Division · Match ·

Urena SC vs Barquisimeto

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.88 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger39%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger33%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Urena SCBarquisimeto
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under71% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
39% / 28% / 33%MatchresultatHemmaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Dubbelchans1271.7%1.39
Över 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Ja 37% · Nej 63%Båda lagen gör målNej63%1.59
1.88 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapUrena SC winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Urena SC win39%2.562.3038.9%+0.1 pp
Oavgjort28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
Barquisimeto win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Urena SC1.06

Hemma share of expected goals 56.4%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 29% · Under 71%

Barquisimeto0.82

Borta share of expected goals 43.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nej 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Urena SC

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Barquisimeto

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
33%
11
Points from supplied form
10
1.06
Expected goals
0.82
Urena SCBarquisimeto
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Urena SC signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barquisimeto signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Urena SC vs Barquisimeto FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Urena SC vunnen 39%,Oavgjort 28%,Barquisimeto vunnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · Över 2.5 29% · Current selection Under