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VEN Venezuela - Segunda División · Partida ·

Ureña SC vs Barquisimeto

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.88 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa39%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante33%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ureña SCBarquisimeto
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo71% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
39% / 28% / 33%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Dupla Chance1271.7%1.39
Acima 29% · Abaixo 71%Goals 2.5Abaixo71%1.41
Sim 37% · Não 63%Ambas as equipes marcamNão63%1.59
1.88 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapUreña SC winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ureña SC win39%2.562.3038.9%+0.1 pp
Empate28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
Barquisimeto win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ureña SC1.06

Mandante share of expected goals 56.4%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 29% · Abaixo 71%

Barquisimeto0.82

Visitante share of expected goals 43.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 37% · Não 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Ureña SC

2.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontos11

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Barquisimeto

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
33%
11
Points from supplied form
10
1.06
Expected goals
0.82
Ureña SCBarquisimeto
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ureña SC signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barquisimeto signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Ureña SC vs Barquisimeto FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ureña SC ganhou 39%,Empate 28%,Barquisimeto ganhou 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · Acima 2.5 29% · Current selection Abaixo