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VEN Venezuela - Segunda División · Partida ·

Atletico El Vigia vs Academia Puerto Cabello II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa33%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante39%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico El VigiaAcademia Puerto Cabello II
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo53% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
33% / 27% / 39%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Dupla Chance1272.9%1.37
Acima 47% · Abaixo 53%Goals 2.5Abaixo53%1.89
Sim 51% · Não 49%Ambas as equipes marcamSim51%1.96
2.57 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapAtletico El Vigia winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico El Vigia win33%3.032.6334%-1.0 pp
Empate27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Academia Puerto Cabello II win39%2.562.3038.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico El Vigia1.07

Mandante share of expected goals 41.6%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 47% · Abaixo 53%

Academia Puerto Cabello II1.50

Visitante share of expected goals 58.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 51% · Não 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Atletico El Vigia

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Academia Puerto Cabello II

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
39%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.07
Expected goals
1.50
Atletico El VigiaAcademia Puerto Cabello II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico El Vigia signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Academia Puerto Cabello II signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Atletico El Vigia vs Academia Puerto Cabello II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico El Vigia ganhou 33%,Empate 27%,Academia Puerto Cabello II ganhou 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Acima 2.5 47% · Current selection Abaixo