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VEN Venezuela - Segunda Division · Match ·

Atletico El Vigia vs Academia Puerto Cabello II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger33%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger39%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico El VigiaAcademia Puerto Cabello II
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
33% / 27% / 39%MatchresultatBortaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Dubbelchans1272.9%1.37
Över 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.57 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapAtletico El Vigia winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico El Vigia win33%3.032.6334%-1.0 pp
Oavgjort27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Academia Puerto Cabello II win39%2.562.3038.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico El Vigia1.07

Hemma share of expected goals 41.6%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 47% · Under 53%

Academia Puerto Cabello II1.50

Borta share of expected goals 58.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Atletico El Vigia

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Academia Puerto Cabello II

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
39%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.07
Expected goals
1.50
Atletico El VigiaAcademia Puerto Cabello II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico El Vigia signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Academia Puerto Cabello II signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Atletico El Vigia vs Academia Puerto Cabello II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico El Vigia vunnen 33%,Oavgjort 27%,Academia Puerto Cabello II vunnen 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Över 2.5 47% · Current selection Under