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VEN Venezuela - Segunda Division · Partita ·

Atletico El Vigia vs Academia Puerto Cabello II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa33%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite39%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico El VigiaAcademia Puerto Cabello II
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
33% / 27% / 39%Esito partitaVittoria ospite39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Doppia Chance1272.9%1.37
Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%Goals 2.5Sotto53%1.89
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.57 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapAtletico El Vigia winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico El Vigia win33%3.032.6334%-1.0 pp
Pareggio27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Academia Puerto Cabello II win39%2.562.3038.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico El Vigia1.07

Casa share of expected goals 41.6%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%

Academia Puerto Cabello II1.50

Trasferta share of expected goals 58.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Atletico El Vigia

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Academia Puerto Cabello II

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vinta probability excluding draw
39%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.07
Expected goals
1.50
Atletico El VigiaAcademia Puerto Cabello II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico El Vigia signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Academia Puerto Cabello II signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Atletico El Vigia vs Academia Puerto Cabello II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico El Vigia vinta 33%,Pareggio 27%,Academia Puerto Cabello II vinta 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Sopra 2.5 47% · Current selection Sotto