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VEN Venezuela Segunda Division · Maç ·

Urena SC vs Barquisimeto

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.88 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır39%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır33%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Urena SCBarquisimeto
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt71% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
39% / 28% / 33%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Çifte Şans1271.7%1.39
Üst 29% · Alt 71%Goals 2.5Alt71%1.41
Evet 37% · Hayır 63%Karşılıklı gol varHayır63%1.59
1.88 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.6 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapUrena SC winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Urena SC win39%2.562.3038.9%+0.1 pp
Beraberlik28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
Barquisimeto win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Urena SC1.06

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 56.4%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 29% · Alt 71%

Barquisimeto0.82

Deplasman share of expected goals 43.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 37% · Hayır 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Urena SC

2.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puan11

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Barquisimeto

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
33%
11
Points from supplied form
10
1.06
Expected goals
0.82
Urena SCBarquisimeto
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Urena SC signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barquisimeto signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Urena SC vs Barquisimeto FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Urena SC kazanç 39%,Beraberlik 28%,Barquisimeto kazanç 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · 2.5 Üst 29% · Current selection Alt